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By: NWSL Editor
NWSL Decision Weekend Playoff Scenarios 

It’s the final week of the regular season, and the playoff picture is almost complete. Two spots are still up for grabs and although Orlando Pride has secured the no. 1 seed and North Carolina Courage is locked in at no. 5, the rest of the seeds will be determined at the end of the weekend.

Portland Thorns look to continue their streak of playoff appearances (every season except 2015), Bay FC aims to become the second expansion team to make the playoffs in their inaugural season and Racing Louisville hopes to earn their first ever playoff berth.

Portland Thorns clinch a playoff spot with:

  • A win or draw OR
  • A loss AND Racing Louisville draw or loss OR
  • A loss AND Bay FC win or draw AND Louisville win AND Portland’s Goal Difference (GD) ≥ Louisville OR
  • A loss AND Bay FC loss AND Louisville win AND (Portland GD ≥ Louisville or Portland GD > Bay)

Bay FC clinches a playoff spot with:

  • A win or draw OR
  • A loss AND Racing Louisville draw or loss OR
  • A loss AND Louisville win AND Portland loss AND Bay’s GD ≥ Portland

Racing Louisville clinches a playoff spot with:

  • A win AND Bay FC loss OR
  • A win AND Portland loss AND Louisville’s GD > Portland

Seeding scenarios for the #2 spot

The Orlando Pride have claimed the NWSL Shield, the number one seed in the playoffs and homefield advantage. The three other quarterfinal hosts - Washington, Gotham FC and Kansas City play for seeding this weekend, with all three clinching top four seeds but eying the two spot and homefield throughout the first two rounds.

Washington Spirit clinches the #2 seed with:

  • A win AND Gotham FC draw or loss OR
  • A win AND Gotham win AND Washington’s GD ≥ Gotham OR
  • A draw AND Gotham draw AND Kansas City draw or loss AND Washington’s GD ≥ Gotham OR
  • A draw AND Gotham loss AND Kansas City draw or loss OR
  • A loss AND Gotham loss AND Kansas City loss AND Washington’s GD ≥ Gotham

NJ/NY Gotham FC clinches the #2 seed with:

  • A win AND Washington draw or loss OR
  • A win AND Washington win AND Gotham’s GD > Washington OR
  • A draw AND Washington loss AND Kansas City draw or loss OR
  • A loss AND Washington loss AND Kansas City loss AND Gotham’s GD > Washington

Kansas City Current clinches the #2 seed with:

  • A win AND Washington draw or loss AND Gotham draw or loss OR
  • A draw AND Washington loss AND Gotham loss

As teams battle for seeding, tiebreakers could come into play. The first three tiebreakers are:

  1. Goal differential
  2. Wins
  3. Goals scored

There are a number of possible seeding outcomes

  • Orlando Pride: Locked at #1
  • Washington Spirit: #2–4
  • NJ/NY Gotham FC: #2–4
  • Kansas City Current: #2–4
  • North Carolina Courage: Locked at #5
  • Chicago Red Stars: #6–8
  • Portland Thorns: #6–ELIMINATED
  • Bay FC: #6–ELIMINATED
  • Racing Louisville: #7–ELIMINATED